Jan
5
Quarterly Market Snapshot – 4th Quarter 2011
Posted by pcwilkinson under For Buyers, For Sellers, Luxury Homes, Marketing Reports, Roanoke, Roanoke Valley, Salem, VA
In this Quarterly Market Snapshot (QMS), I reveal my research into the Roanoke Valley MLS’s™ 4th quarter 2011 housing market activity, and the annual activity for the years 2008 through 2011 (see chart below).
We have seen an INCREASE in number of transactions from 2010. The number of Roanoke Valley transactions increased by 154 sales (up 5%) from 2010 to 2011. The trend in the average number of days on market (DOM) is up by 3 days from 2010 to 2011 (up 3%). That is not good news because 112 DOM is still historically a very long time to wait until a seller receives a contract. These DOM numbers are also skewed because they only reflect DOM for homes that actually sold, and not the cumulative days those homes may have been on the market.
The average price of homes sold in 2011 DECREASED substantially (over 8%) from 2010. Average sales price has now taken its 6th consecutive year of losses. While this is extremely difficult news for sellers, it is an EXCELLENT opportunity for buyers to take advantage of low prices and low interest rates!
I still maintain that the reduction in the average price is a function of higher priced homes simply not selling (jumbo loans of $417,000 or more carry a higher interest rate as seen below, and are more difficult to obtain). Since these higher priced homes are NOT being added into the equation, I do NOT believe the average price of homes in the $100,000 to $400,000 price ranges have declined as dramatically as the numbers would suggest (see below).




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